US data yesterday were mixed, with existing home sales falling less than had been expected but initial jobless claims higher than forecast. 美国昨日发布的经济数据好坏参半,现房销售的下降少于预期,但初次申领失业金的人数高于预期。
Study on the evolvement of initial errors in ensemble forecast of heavy rains based on BGM 基于BGM的暴雨集合预报初始扰动发展分析
Computation of initial analysis error and ensemble forecast based on the method of "BGM" 基于增长模繁殖法的初始分析误差计算及集合预报试验
The Optimal Method of the Initial Data in the Precipitation Forecast 降水预报的初始场最优化方法
Taking discharge in initial ice period as factor to forecast spring flood 以初冰期流量为因子预报春汛来水量
Impact of Regional Uncertainties of the Initial State upon Numerical Forecast of Mesoscale Low on Meiyu Front 区域初始分析误差对梅雨锋中尺度低压数值预报的影响
By the analysis of Taylor diagram, it was found that, with initial forecast time approaching the real monsoon onset date, the performance of the model greatly increased. 通过对泰勒图的分析发现,随着预报初始时间越来越接近实际的季风爆发时间,模式预报南海夏季风爆发和演变的能力越来越强。
When the initial forecast time led target by 1& 30 days, the model could forecast the spatial distributions of wind, OLR ( Outgoing Longwave Radiation) and precipitation fields, among which the wind was best forecasted. 当提前1&30d预报南海夏季风时,模式能够很好地预报风场、射出长波辐射OLR(OutgoingLongwaveRadiation)和降水场的空间分布,其中对风场的预报最好。
The initial frost and final frost forecast is performed on partial factors determined by discriminatory function got up with step-by-step discriminatory method. 再用逐步判别的方法筛选部分因子建立判别函数,预测广西初、终霜趋势。
However, for 11 weak TCs, slight increases in the average track errors were observed. The results suggest that assimilation of the cloud-drift wind data for TCs of different initial intensity has different impact on TC track forecast. 而对于11个较弱气旋,平均路径误差反而略有增加,说明同化云迹风资料对不同初始强度的气旋作用也有所不同。
The test results show that the scheme can provide better initial values for the quasi-opera-tional medium-range forecast model in NMC, and came into operational use at 12 September, 1991. 试验表明,这个方案为国家气象中心的准业务中期预报模式提供了较好的初始值。
A method of initial values of Hurricane numerical forecast 一种飓风数值预报的初值化方法
A climatic persistence prediction model for TC strength is established to assess the possible impact of initial values on the prediction of TC strength, and four years ( 2000-2003) prediction experiments using different initial values from different forecast centers are performed. 为了初步了解上述资料问题对TC强度预报的可能影响,采用一个气候持续性预报方法,取不同来源的TC强度资料进行了4a(2000&2003年)的预报。
Initial study on forest fire risk forecast of Pingxiang city 萍乡市森林火险(火灾)预报方法初探
Data assimilation can give a better initial field, therefore the short-range storm surge forecast has an obvious amelioration. 资料同化能够提供更为合理的预报初始场,对风暴潮的短期预报有较明显的改进。
Effects of External Forcing and Initial Condition on Short-Term Climatic Forecast 外源强迫和初始值在短期气候预测中的作用
An initial study of mid-range forecast of solar flares 太阳耀斑中期预报初步研究
To solve the uncertainty of initial fields in the traditional numerical forecast, medium-range ensemble forecast experiments using the model T106L19 were made. 为解决传统的数值预报初值存在的不确定性,利用增长模繁殖法在T106L19全球谱模式上进行了中期集合预报试验。
SWV obtained by the this method can be used in tomography to sense the three dimensional structure of water vapor and improve the initial conditions of numerical weather forecast. It's also useful in correcting the error of GPS geodesy and radar images. 用该方法计算的GPS信号斜路径方向上的水汽含量,可以用于层析水汽的三维分布,优化数值天气预报的初始场,也可以改正GPS大地测量和雷达影像的误差。
Experiments of initial values effect on numerical weather forecast for heavy rain 分析初值对暴雨数值预报影响的试验
An initial forecast model of BP neural networks is established, and is trained using the history data of our hospital inventory. 建立了一个BP神经网络初始预测模型,并用医院库存的历史数据进行了网络训练。
A variational method for retrieving wind vector from single Doppler wind measurements is developed and the initial forecast fields are created from the retrieved winds. 文中给了一种由单多普勒雷达资料反演风矢量场的变分方法,并由此形成预报初始场。
The initial frost and the final frost forecast series are determined based upon analysis of its trend changes. 分析广西初、终霜日趋势变化,确定了初、终霜日早晚预报序列。
Numerical study on effects of the accuracy of initial fields on the monthly forecast 初值精度对月预报影响的数值研究
The GA 4-D variational data assimilation system can provide more precise quality initial fields, thus enhance the forecast accuracy of NWP model, eventually make the technique of GA receive further application. MM4遗传算法四维变分同化系统能够为数值天气预报模式提供高质量的初始场,从而提高NWP模式预报的准确性,使得遗传算法这一有效技术得到了进一步的应用。
On this basis, aiming at the disability that original active contour model is more sensitive to initial contour, the paper establishes an initial contour forecast model that uses segmented image contours forecast undivided images 'initial contours. 在此基础上,针对原始动态轮廓模型存在的对初始轮廓线较敏感的问题,建立了初始轮廓预测模型,即应用分割后图像的轮廓来预测未分割图像的轮廓。
Recent studies showed that even small scale and small amplitude initial errors could contaminate short-range deterministic mesoscale forecast. 近期研究表明,即使小尺度、小振幅初始误差也会对中尺度数值预报造成很重要影响。
In recent years, the study of global climate change has been a change from the initial forecast, slowing the development to a generally accepted adaptation for the current. Adaptation has been a worldwide issue, especially in the developing countries. 近年来,全球气候变化研究从最初的预测、减缓发展为目前普遍被接受的适应,适应已成为全球尤其是发展中国家所共同面临的一个重大课题。